Event order book
Choose an existing offer
Odds and amounts are shown for your side.
Tap to select an offer. Your stake is placed only after confirmation.
Recent trades3
Odds are for the order’s author. Volume includes both stakes. Times are UTC.
First offerCreator’s terms · NO3,900 USDC
Ratio1 : 1
Minimum entry10 USDC
Entries7d 18h
Calculation example. Real stakes are not available yet.
Terms cannot be changed after creation. The outcome is confirmed with evidence.
How duels workTerms locked in
No promised phone, no release rumours. Just one word in a public post. Window: September 21, 2026, 00:00 UTC to September 28, 2026, 00:00 UTC, end excluded. YES — @elonmusk’s own post, reply or added quote-post text contains iPhone, case-insensitively, with no Latin letter or digit immediately before or after it. “iPhone 18” and “#iPhone” qualify; “iPhones” and “iPhone18” do not. NO — no qualifying publication appears. Text in images or videos, links without the word in visible text, plain reposts and another author’s quoted text are excluded. Source: a direct X link with timestamp; deleted posts require a verifiable archive. REFUND — by September 29, 00:00 UTC, incomplete posting history prevents verification of either presence or absence. The cover is an abstract illustration.
Result sourcehttps://x.com/elonmuskOn opposing sides
For every USDC an opponent stakes, the author risks 1 USDC. The winner receives their stake back plus the corresponding share of the losing side’s stake. The author receives any unmatched remainder back.