Will SpaceX catch Super Heavy before October? Chopsticks ready.

Entries close: Sep 18, 10:00 PM UTC
Event result: Oct 2, 12:00 AM UTC

Rules & source

Demo event · USDC

YOUR PREDICTION. YOUR PRICE.

Event order book

6orders3,740 USDCtraded3trades

Choose an existing offer

Odds and amounts are shown for your side.

Back YES3 orders

Back NO3 orders

Tap to select an offer. Your stake is placed only after confirmation.

Recent trades3

YES×1.801,440 USDC02:51 AM@soft.landing ↔ @moon.logic

NO×2.501,500 USDC02:51 AM@bullish.cat ↔ @pixel.oracle

YES×2.00800 USDC02:50 AM@data.raccoon ↔ @neon.whale

Odds are for the order’s author. Volume includes both stakes. Times are UTC.

First offerCreator’s terms · YES10,000 USDC

AUTHOR’S CALL · YES

10,000USDC

Accepted 6,900 USDC69%

Ratio1 : 1

Minimum entry10 USDC

Entries5d 18h

Author’s sideYES

Calculation example. Real stakes are not available yet.

Words locked in.

Terms cannot be changed after creation. The outcome is confirmed with evidence.

How duels work

Terms locked in

A cosmic pickup instead of home delivery. This asks about a possible test; it does not announce a launch. Event window: September 19, 2026, 00:00 UTC to October 1, 2026, 00:00 UTC, end excluded. Entries close September 18, 22:00 UTC. YES — after an actual flight, at least one Super Heavy booster is caught by the launch tower’s mechanical arms and held for at least 30 continuous seconds. The Starship upper stage, mock-ups, ground handling and water landings do not count. NO — no qualifying catch occurs, including if there are no launches. Source: the full official SpaceX webcast with timestamps and the mission report. Evidence is accepted until October 2, 00:00 UTC. REFUND — no YES is confirmed and available official material is insufficient to verify an actual catch attempt’s outcome. The cover is a fantasy illustration.

Result sourcehttps://www.spacex.com/launches/

On opposing sides

AUTHOR · YES6,900 USDCAccepted portion of the author’s stake

OPPONENTS · NO6,900 USDCTotal opposing stakes

For every USDC an opponent stakes, the author risks 1 USDC. The winner receives their stake back plus the corresponding share of the losing side’s stake. The author receives any unmatched remainder back.