Will Optimus serve coffee by itself? Tips still accepted.

Entries close: Sep 18, 10:00 PM UTC
Event result: Oct 2, 12:00 AM UTC

Rules & source

Demo event · USDC

YOUR PREDICTION. YOUR PRICE.

Event order book

6orders7,670 USDCtraded4trades

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Recent trades4

YES×3.003,300 USDC02:51 AM@neon.whale ↔ @no.cap

NO×1.801,620 USDC02:51 AM@not.a.bot ↔ @contra.club

YES×2.501,750 USDC02:50 AM@soft.landing ↔ @moon.logic

NO×2.001,000 USDC02:49 AM@bullish.cat ↔ @pixel.oracle

Odds are for the order’s author. Volume includes both stakes. Times are UTC.

First offerCreator’s terms · NO5,500 USDC

AUTHOR’S CALL · NO

5,500USDC

Accepted 2,800 USDC51%

Ratio1 : 1

Minimum entry10 USDC

Entries5d 18h

Author’s sideNO

Calculation example. Real stakes are not available yet.

Words locked in.

Terms cannot be changed after creation. The outcome is confirmed with evidence.

How duels work

Terms locked in

Tesla has an Optimus project. This duel has a question: will it show a robot barista? No demonstration date is asserted here. Publication window: September 19, 2026, 00:00 UTC to October 1, 2026, 00:00 UTC, end excluded. YES — Tesla publishes an original video showing Optimus pick up a cup, fill it with coffee from a coffee machine or pot, and hand it to a person. The entire sequence must be visible without cuts; Tesla must explicitly state that this sequence was performed autonomously without remote control. NO — no qualifying video is published. Pouring water, reusing old footage or showing a clip without an autonomy statement is insufficient. Source: tesla.com or Tesla’s official YouTube/X channels; a direct link and publication time are required. REFUND — published evidence has been removed and cannot be verified by October 2, 00:00 UTC. The cover is an illustration, not test footage.

Result sourcehttps://www.tesla.com/AI

On opposing sides

AUTHOR · NO2,800 USDCAccepted portion of the author’s stake

OPPONENTS · YES2,800 USDCTotal opposing stakes

For every USDC an opponent stakes, the author risks 1 USDC. The winner receives their stake back plus the corresponding share of the losing side’s stake. The author receives any unmatched remainder back.